NL EAST - New York Mets

Unless he's traded to a contender, 3B David Wright won't have much to smile about this season.

OVERVIEW:

POSITION PLAYERS:

C John Buck (-0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.3 WAR avg. in good season)

1B Ike Davis (0.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.7 WAR avg. in good season)

2B Daniel Murphy (1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.3 WAR avg. in good season)

SS Ruben Tejada (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.7 WAR avg in medium season, 2.7 WAR avg. in good season)

3B David Wright (1.8 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.1 WAR avg. in medium season, 5.9 WAR avg. in good season)

LF Lucas Duda (-1.4 WAR avg. in poor season, -0.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.2 WAR avg. in good season)

CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis (-0.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.2 WAR avg. in good season)

RF Mike Baxter (-0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.8 WAR avg. in good season)

BENCH (-1.7 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.2 WAR avg. in good season)

PITCHERS:

SP Johan Santana (-0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.9 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.9 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Jonathan Niese (0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.2 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Matt Harvey (0.9 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.9 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Shaun Marcum (0.8 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.2 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Dillon Gee (0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.1 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.2 WAR avg. in good season)

CL Frank Francisco (-0.3 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.2 WAR avg. in good season)

BULLPEN (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.0 WAR avg. in good season)


MLB FORECASTER SCHEDULE-ADJUSTED OVER/UNDER LINE: 71.3 (4th, NL EAST)

VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE: 75.0 (5Dimes); 75.5 (LVH); 74.0 (Atlantis) 

RECOMMENDATION: This team feels exceedingly mediocre. I will be surprised if they can even reach the modest 75 win goal. Bet the Under.