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| Heaven. Or as it's also known: the Sports Book at Caesar's Palace. |
Here's how the MLB Forecaster simulator breaks down for each team. Once again, I'm not saying that this is exactly the number of wins that a team will get, but rather the 50% point for each team in 129,000,000+ permutations of possible outcomes. To take the White Sox, for example, when we run our simulations, 50% of the time they end up with more than 82.1 wins, and 50% of the time they end up with less. If you can find a gambling website that is offering them at 78 wins, then it would make sense to bet the over and get some extra equity on the bet.
OVERALL PROJECTIONS
AL EAST
New York Yankees - 86.7
Tampa Bay Rays - 86.3
Toronto Blue Jays - 85.9
Boston Red Sox - 84.3
Baltimore Orioles - 78.4
AL CENTRAL
Detroit Tigers - 94.7
Kansas City Royals - 83.3
Chicago White Sox - 82.1
Cleveland Indians - 78.8
Minnesota Twins - 67.3
AL WEST
Los Angeles Angels - 94.8
Texas Rangers - 89.1
Oakland Athletics - 87.9
Seattle Mariners - 77.8
Houston Astros - 57.8
AMERICAN LEAGUE PLAYOFF TEAMS: Yankees/Blue Jays (too close to call), Tigers, Angels, Athletics, Rangers. (What!?!?! Only one AL East team? Talent-wise the AL East has three of the best teams in the league, but they also have to play each other all the time...they don't have Houston to feast on for 19 games, unlike Oakland and Texas).
NL EAST
Washington Nationals - 94.4
Atlanta Braves - 83.9
Philadelphia Phillies - 81.0
New York Mets - 71.3
Miami Marlins - 62.9
NL CENTRAL
Cincinnati Reds - 90.5
St. Louis Cardinals - 82.6
Milwaukee Brewers - 77.5
Pittsburgh Pirates - 75.4
Chicago Cubs - 71.0
NL WEST
Los Angeles Dodgers - 88.2
San Francisco Giants - 84.8
Arizona Diamondbacks - 82.8
Colorado Rockies - 74.4
San Diego Padres - 70.2
NATIONAL LEAGUE PLAYOFF TEAMS: Nationals, Reds, Dodgers, Giants, Braves
HOW THEY COMPARE TO VEGAS
STRONGLY RECOMMEND OVERS (3+ win avg. difference)
Kansas City Royals +5.8 (5Dimes); +5.8 (LVH); +4.3 (Atlantis)
Oakland Athletics +3.4 (5Dimes); +4.4 (LVH); +4.9 (Atlantis)
Colorado Rockies +3.9 (5Dimes); +3.9 (LVH); +2.9 (Atlantis)*
Los Angeles Angels +3.3 (5Dimes); +3.3 (LVH); +5.3 (Atlantis)
* The Rockies Over is based on the original line of 70.5. Apparently people agreed with my assessment, as the line has been bet up to 72.5
STRONGLY RECOMMEND UNDERS (3+ win avg. difference)
San Diego Padres -4.3 (5Dimes); -4.8 (LVH); -4.3 (Atlantis)
New York Mets -3.7 (5Dimes); -4.2 (LVH); -2.7 (Atlantis)
San Francisco Giants -3.2 (5Dimes); -3.7 (LVH); -1.2 (Atlantis)
Atlanta Braves -3.6 (5Dimes); -3.6 (LVH); -2.1 (Atlantis)
St. Louis Cardinals -3.9 (5Dimes); -3.9 (LVH); -2.9 (Atlantis)
Milwaukee Brewers -3.5 (5Dimes); -4.0 (LVH); -2.0 (Atlantis)
Los Angeles Dodgers -3.3 (5Dimes); -3.3 (LVH); -1.8 (Atlantis)
MILDLY RECOMMEND OVERS
Washington Nationals +2.4 (5Dimes); +2.9 (LVH); +4.4 (Atlantis)
Detroit Tigers +2.2 (5Dimes); +1.7 (LVH); +4.7 (Atlantis)
Texas Rangers +2.6 (5Dimes); +3.1 (LVH); +2.1 (Atlantis)
MILDLY RECOMMEND UNDERS
Houston Astros -1.7 (5Dimes); -2.2 (LVH); -1.7 (Atlantis)
Philadelphia Phillies -3.0 (5Dimes); -1.5 (LVH); -0.5 (Atlantis)
Toronto Blue Jays -3.1 (5Dimes); -1.6 (LVH); -0.6 (Atlantis)
STAYAWAYS
New York Yankees +0.5 (5Dimes); Even (LVH); +2.0 (Atlantis)
Tampa Bay Rays +0.3 (5Dimes); +0.8 (LVH); +0.3 (Atlantis)
Boston Red Sox +1.3 (5Dimes); +1.8 (LVH); +4.8 (Atlantis)
Baltimore Orioles -0.1 (5Dimes); +0.9 (LVH); +1.9 (Atlantis)
Chicago White Sox +1.1 (5Dimes); +1.6 (LVH); +1.6 (Atlantis)
Cleveland Indians +1.3 (5Dimes); +2.3 (LVH); +1.3 (Atlantis)
Minnesota Twins -0.2 (5Dimes); +0.3 (LVH); +2.8 (Atlantis)
Seattle Mariners +0.3 (5Dimes); -0.7 (LVH); +1.3 (Atlantis)
Miami Marlins -0.6 (5Dimes); -1.1 (LVH); -1.6 (Atlantis)
Cincinnati Reds -0.5 (5Dimes); -1.0 (LVH); +2.0 (Atlantis)
Pittsburgh Pirates -1.6 (5Dimes); -1.6 (LVH); -3.6 (Atlantis)
Chicago Cubs -1.5 (5Dimes); -2.0 (LVH); -1.0 (Atlantis)
Arizona Diamondbacks +0.3 (5Dimes); +0.8 (LVH); +1.3 (Atlantis)
