AL CENTRAL - Chicago White Sox

The White Sox' hopes hinge on which Alex Rios shows up in 2013.

 OVERVIEW:

POSITION PLAYERS:

C Tyler Flowers (0.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.6 WAR avg. in good season)

1B Paul Konerko (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.2 WAR avg. in good season)

2B Gordon Beckham (0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.9 WAR avg. in good season)

SS Alexei Ramirez (1.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.3 WAR avg. in good season)

3B Jeff Keppinger (-0.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.0 WAR avg. in good season)

LF Dayan Viciedo (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.8 WAR avg. in good season)

CF Alejandro De Aza (0.8 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.1 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.7 WAR avg. in good season)

RF Alex Rios (-0.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.5 WAR avg. in good season)

DH Adam Dunn (-1.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.8 WAR avg. in good season)

BENCH (-1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.0 WAR avg. in good season)

PITCHERS:

SP Jake Peavy (0.9 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.4 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Chris Sale (1.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 5.5 WAR avg. in good season)

SP John Danks (0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.5 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Gavin Floyd (1.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.6 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Jose Quintana (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.3 WAR avg. in good season)

CL Addison Reed (-0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.3 WAR avg. in good season)

BULLPEN (3.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 5.9 WAR avg. in medium season, 7.4 WAR avg. in good season)


MLB FORECASTER SCHEDULE-ADJUSTED OVER/UNDER LINE: 82.1 (2nd, AL CENTRAL)

PROBABILITIES: In our simulations, here is the frequency with which the White Sox finished in a given range:

65-69 wins - 0.6%
70-74 wins - 6.1%
75-79 wins - 24.4%
80-84 wins - 38.1%
85-89 wins - 24.4%
90-94 wins - 6.1%
95-99 wins - 0.3%

VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE: 81.0 (5Dimes); 80.5 (LVH); 80.5 (Atlantis) 

RECOMMENDATION: Stay away.