AL WEST - Los Angeles Angels

Mike Trout could very well be the most valuable player in baseball (he certainly was last year).

OVERVIEW:

POSITION PLAYERS:

C Chris Iannetta (0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.7 WAR avg. in good season)

1B Albert Pujols (2.8 WAR avg. in poor season, 4.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 7.1 WAR avg. in good season)

2B Howie Kendrick (1.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.9 WAR avg. in good season)

SS Erick Aybar (0.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.2 WAR avg. in good season)

3B Albert Callaspo (0.3 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.1 WAR avg. in good season)

LF Mike Trout (4.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 7.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 11.1 WAR avg. in good season)

CF Peter Bourjos (1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.1 WAR avg. in good season)

RF Josh Hamilton (1.7 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 6.6 WAR avg. in good season)

DH Mark Trumbo (0.8 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.3 WAR avg. in good season)

BENCH (-1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.7 WAR avg. in good season)

PITCHERS:

SP Jered Weaver (2.7 WAR avg. in poor season, 4.3 WAR avg in medium season, 5.9 WAR avg. in good season)

SP C.J. Wilson (0.7 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.4 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Tommy Hanson (-0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.6 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Joe Blanton (-0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.7 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Jason Vargas (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.8 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.8 WAR avg. in good season)

CL Ryan Madson (0.3 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.9 WAR avg. in good season)

BULLPEN (1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 5.0 WAR avg. in good season)


MLB FORECASTER SCHEDULE-ADJUSTED OVER/UNDER LINE: 94.8 (1st, AL WEST)

PROBABILITIES: In our simulations, here is the frequency with which the Angels finished within a given range:

75-79 wins - 0.1%
80-84 wins - 1.6%
85-89 wins - 12.0%
90-94 wins - 32.5%
95-99 wins - 35.5%
100-104 wins - 15.8%
105-109 wins - 2.6%

VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE: 91.5 (5Dimes); 91.5 (LVH); 89.5 (Atlantis)

RECOMMENDATION: As with the Nationals, I'd advocate the Over, but with caution...it is tough to win 92+ games, but I think this Angels team can do it.