AL CENTRAL - Cleveland Indians

RF Nick Swisher headlined a productive off-season for the Indians.

OVERVIEW:

POSITION PLAYERS:

C Carlos Santana (1.9 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.4 WAR avg. in good season)

1B Nick Swisher (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.5 WAR avg. in good season)

2B Jason Kipnis (1.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.9 WAR avg. in medium season)

SS Asdrubal Cabrera (1.9 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.9 WAR avg. in good season)

3B Lonnie Chisenhall (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.8 WAR avg. in good season)

LF Michael Brantley (0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.7 WAR avg. in good season)

CF Michael Bourn (1.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 5.5 WAR avg. in good season)

RF Drew Stubbs (-0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.9 WAR avg. in good season)

DH Mark Reynolds (-0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.2 WAR avg. in good season)

BENCH (-2.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.0 WAR avg. in good season)

PITCHERS:

SP Ubaldo Jimenez (-0.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.5 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.8 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Justin Masterson (-0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.4 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Brett Myers (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.9 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.3 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Zach McAllister (-0.9 WAR avg. in poor season, -0.1 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.6 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Carlos Carrasco (-0.3 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.8 WAR avg. in good season)

CL Chris Perez (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.7 WAR avg. in good season)

BULLPEN (1.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.9 WAR avg. in good season)

MLB FORECASTER SCHEDULE-ADJUSTED OVER/UNDER: 78.8 (4th, AL CENTRAL)

PROBABILITIES: In our simulations, here is the frequency with which the Indians finished within a given range:

Under 65 wins - 0.2%
65-69 wins - 2.6%
70-74 wins - 15.8%
75-79 wins - 35.5%
80-84 wins - 32.5%
85-89 wins - 12.0%
90-94 wins - 1.6%


VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE: 77.5 (5Dimes); 76.5 (LVH); 77.5 (Atlantis)

RECOMMENDATION: Stay away.