Friday, March 1, 2013

NL WEST - Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers have a ton of money to go around, and a good chunk of it is going to SP Zack Greinke.
 
OVERVIEW:

POSITION PLAYERS:

C A.J. Ellis (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.4 WAR avg. in good season)

1B Adrian Gonzalez (2.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 5.6 WAR avg. in good season)

2B Mark Ellis (0.9 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.1 WAR avg. in good season)

SS Hanley Ramirez (0.3 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.6 WAR avg. in good season)

3B Luis Cruz (0.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.5 WAR avg. in good season)

LF Carl Crawford (0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.6 WAR avg. in good season)

CF Matt Kemp (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 6.0 WAR avg. in good season)

RF Andre Ethier (1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.3 WAR avg. in good season)

BENCH (-1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.1 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.4 WAR avg. in good season)

PITCHERS:

SP Clayton Kershaw (3.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 5.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 6.8 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Zack Greinke (1.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 3.1 WAR avg. in medium season, 5.5 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Josh Beckett (-0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 4.7 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Hyun-Jin Ryu (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.8 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Chris Capuano (0.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.7 WAR avg. in good season)

CL Brandon League (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.0 WAR avg. in good season)

BULLPEN (3.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 4.7 WAR avg. in medium season, 6.2 WAR avg. in good season)


MLB FORECASTER SCHEDULE-ADJUSTED OVER/UNDER LINE: 88.2 (1st, NL WEST)

VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE: 91.5 (5Dimes); 91.5 (LVH); 90.0 (Atlantis) 

RECOMMENDATION: The line appears fairly close, but given that the Dodgers have disappointed in recent seasons, I'm saying the Under is the safest bet with this team.

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