Friday, March 1, 2013

NL WEST - Colorado Rockies

A healthy Troy Tulowitzki will go a long way to helping the Rockies be at least respectable.
 
OVERVIEW:

POSITION PLAYERS:

C Wilin Rosario (0.3 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.7 WAR avg. in good season)

1B Todd Helton (-0.3 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.6 WAR avg. in good season)

2B Josh Rutledge (-0.6 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.1 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.3 WAR avg. in good season)

SS Troy Tulowitzki (0.9 WAR avg. in poor season, 4.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 6.0 WAR avg. in good season)

3B Chris Nelson (-1.1 WAR avg. in poor season, -0.4 WAR avg. in medium season, 0.6 WAR avg. in good season)

LF Carlos Gonzalez (1.4 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.9 WAR avg. in medium season, 5.0 WAR avg. in good season)

CF Dexter Fowler (0.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.6 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.8 WAR avg. in good season)

RF Michael Cuddyer (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.1 WAR avg. in good season)

BENCH (-1.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 0.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 1.0 WAR avg. in good season)

PITCHERS:

SP Jorge De La Rosa (-0.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.2 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Jhoulys Chacin (1.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 2.3 WAR avg. in medium season, 3.8 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Drew Pomeranz (-0.2 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.2 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Juan Nicasio (-0.1 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.5 WAR avg. in good season)

SP Jeff Francis (0.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.3 WAR avg. in good season)

CL Rafael Betancourt (0.5 WAR avg. in poor season, 1.2 WAR avg. in medium season, 2.2 WAR avg. in good season)

BULLPEN (3.0 WAR avg. in poor season, 5.0 WAR avg. in medium season, 7.0 WAR avg. in good season)


MLB FORECASTER SCHEDULE-ADJUSTED OVER/UNDER LINE: 74.4

VEGAS OVER/UNDER LINE: 70.5 (5Dimes); 70.5 (LVH); 71.5 (Atlantis) 

RECOMMENDATION: At 3-4 wins above what is being expected, this looks like a pretty decent Over bet to me. (UPDATE: Apparently, the rest of the world thought the way I did...the Rockies' Over has been bet up to 72.5).

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